Michigan State University Extension
Ag Experiment Station Special Reports - SR539201
07/28/98

The Future of Wheat in Michigan R. Ward and P.K.W. Ng Department of Crop and Soil Sciences and Department of Food


Science and Human Nutrition, respectively                   

Introduction                                                

True to its long established history as a civilization      
builder and sustainer, wheat continues to play a            
significant role in U.S. and Michigan agriculture. Whether  
you are a farmer, seedsman, input supplier, elevator        
operator, miller, or food processor or whether your concern 
is jobs, economic growth, environmental sustainability,     
food prices, or preservation ofour greatrural heritage, you 
cannot afford to ignore wheat.                              

For Michigan's farmers, 80% or more of whom plant wheat     
every year, wheat's winter habit, close row spacing, and    
cool season adaptation add value through alternative weed   
control opportunities and alternative and complementary     
peak work periods.                                          

For the food processing industry, wheat is the raw material 
for innumerable job sustaining products. The majority       
ofMichigan's annual wheat harvest is milled in Michigan     
mills to make high quaHty flour, which is in turn used      
for cookies, cakes, soup thickeners, pie crusts and more.   
White wheat bran is a primary feedstock for Michigan's      
enormous cereal industry. Michigan wheat is also ground to  
produce whole grain cereal products.                        


The Wheat Industry in Michigan                              
Numerous breeding programs, both public and private,        
develop varieties which are adapted to Michigan. All        
available soft wheats are pure lines, but hybrid wheat is   
still a target of several private breeding programs. For    
white wheat, whose regional acreage is largely limited to   
Michigan, Ontario, and New York, the majority of variety    
development efforts are in the local public institutions.   
WG Thompsons in Canada and Pioneer Hibred ire the USA also  
develop white wheat varieties.                              

In red wheats, several major private companies compete for  
the large seed markets in Ohio, Indiana, and Illinois. Land 
grant universities in those states also breed and release   
red wheats. Many of the products of these breeding prograrm 
are well adapted to Michigan's wheat growmg environments.   
Collectively, these soft red wheat breeding programs        
represent a tremendous engine for soft wheat improvement.   
In fact, variety trial data from the past three years shows 
that the best of the newer varieties should propel          
Michigan's wheat production into a new, higher level of     
productivity, with yields increasing by five to ten bushels 
per acre for both red and white varieties.                  

Farmers can purchase seed from several types of             
organizadons. The majority of the wheat seed purchased in   
Michigan arises from the state sanctioned Certified seed    
system administered by the Michigan Foundation Seed         
Association (MFSA) and the Michigan Crop Improvement        
Association (MCIA). In Michigan, Certified seed is produced 
exclusively from Foundation seed, which is in turn produced 
from Breeders seed. Most other states allow Certified seed  
to be produced from Registered seed (itself produced from   
Foundation) or Foundation seed.                             

Varieties produced in the Certified seed system are usually 
released under the Plant Variety Protection Act (PVP) of    
1970. Most varieties released by state experiment stations  
and some released by private companies are processed        
through the Certified seed systems. For a variety to be     
eligible for certification in Michigan, it must be on the   
approved list which is administered by the Michigan         
Department of Agriculture but originates within MSU's       
Department of Crop and Soil Sciences. To be sold as         
Certified seed in Michigan, seed produced elsewhere must    
have been produced with the same standards as those         
prevailing in Michigan. This requirement, coupled with the  
use in Michigan of the three class system (Breeder/         
Foundation/Certified) versus the four class system of       
Indiana, Ohio, Illinois and others                          
(breeder/foundation/registered/certified), causes           
considerable controversy because much of the Certified seed 
produced in other states cannot be sold in Michigan because 
it arises from registered class seed.                       

There is no legal requirement that seed be derived from the 
Certified seed system. In fact, MCIA will inspect and       
"green tag" seed production of varieties not on the list of 
those eligible for certification. This parallel             
pseudocertification system can be applied to "brands," i.e. 
varieties not protected and regulated by the Plant Variety  
Protection Act (PVP). Non- PVP varieties can be sold under  
more than one name designation.                             

Some private companies register their varieties under PVP   
in a manner that forces sale of the seed as Certified class 
(Title V option), while others avoid the official           
certification systems. In this latter group there are some  
companies whose policies dictate exclusive association of   
one name with one variety (and vice versa), while others    
market the same variety under different names either        
directly or through subcontracts. Some universities have    
also engaged in this latter practice of releasing varieties 
as commodities which can be sold under different names.     

Certified seed or its equivalent from private sources is    
used to plant 25% of Michigan's wheat acreage. Many farmers 
produce their own seed from a small planting of certified   
seed and are therefore planting most of their wheat with    
seed that is one generation removed from certified. Seed    
treatment of farmer- produced seed is fairly common, either 
by planter box application or through services available at 
local elevators or seed distributors.                       

Current Managernent                                         

Michigan wheat is almost exclusively of "winter" habit, and 
is planted in the fall between mid -September and late      
October. Wheat would generally follow soybeans, beans, or   
sugarbeets in a rotation series of three of more years.     
Seedbed preparation practices vary, but wheat is usually    
planted after two or more tillage operations. Most wheat is 
drilled, although broadcast sowing is also practiced.       
Drilling rates range from 1.3 to 2.3 million seeds per      
acre, with row spacing set at around 7" on average.         
Moderate amounts of N, P and K are applied before planting, 
generally by broadcasting before tillage.                   

No herbicides are applied to wheat in the fall. Some stand  
reduction occurs from winter related injury, although the   
extent of this damage is quite variable and largely         
undocumented. Maximum yields require spring N application.  
Farmers will apply 60-150 lbs actual N per acre (average=   
701bs/acre), most commonly as urea, either before spring    
growth commences (frost application) or immediately after   
greenup. Broadleafweed herbicides are spring applied on 25  
-50% of the wheat acreage. Optimal application times vary   
with the product, but are generally prior to Feekes stage   
7 (second internode detectable).                            

Wheat varieties available for Michigan vary in flowering    
and harvest dates by as much as seven days. Paradoxically,  
many of today's highest yielders are also the earliest to   
mature. Whether this indicates that the early to flower     
strategy is more advantageous or if the association between 
earliness and yield is spurious is as of yet unknown.       

Seventy to eighty percent of Michigan's wheat is white      
grained, and most of that is planted in the Thumb region.   
White wheat is particularly susceptible to preharvest       
sprouting, although red wheats will also sprout. Sprouting  
can occur if harvest-ripe wheat is subjected to prolonged   
periods of excessive moisture coupled with warm             
temperatures. Sprout damaged wheat is severely penalized in 
price. This penalty reflects the drastic reduction in flour 
quality that results from the synthesis of protein and      
starch degrading enzymes during germination.                

Disease and Infestation                                     

Michigan wheat is attacked by numerous disease and insect   
pests. Wheat spindle streak virus (WSSV), a soil borne and  
seemingly ubiquitous virus, can cause extensive chlorosis   
in early spring. Genetic host plant resistance, Based on    
visual symptom development, is quite abundant in elite soft 
wheat germplasm. Barley yellow dwarf (BYD) virus also       
damages Michigan wheat, through both fall and spring        
infections. Strong host resistance is not currently         
available for BYD.                                          

The fungi E. tritici (powdery mildew), Septoria tritici S.  
nodorum (glume blotch), Puccinia recondita (leaf rust), and 
Fusarium spp .(scab) are all serious and consistent threats 
to Michigan's wheat crop. Genetic resistance and chemical   
control measures are both available for all of these except 
scab, for which neither control strategy is yet available.  
Besides reducing yield, scab also leads to contamination of 
wheat grain with mycotoxins. Fungicide use is variable, but 
probably does not exceed 10% of the acreage in any year.    
There are many other minor diseases which attack wheat.     
Total yield loss from diseases is difficult to esdmate but  
probably ranges from 10-70% in individual fields and        
approaches 25% or more on a statewide basis.                

Hessian fly can cause significant damage to wheat, although 
outbreaks are sporadic and relatively insignificant on a    
statewide basis. Cereal leaf beetle is another sporadic     
pest of wheat. Host resistance exists for both these insect 
pests, but neither is currently regarded as a high          
priority.                                                   

Economic Impact                                             
Wheat at the arm gate in Michigan in 1990 was worth over    
$100 million. Most of Michigan's annual wheat crop is       
consumed by local mills. In return, the Michigan milling    
industry adds an additional $1.5 billion to the wheat       
industry. Main products from the mills are flour, bran, and 
whole grain cereals. White wheat bran is in far greater     
demand than red wheat bran due to flavor and color problems 
associated with red bran pigments after processing.         

Michigan's wheat industry is primarily based on production  
of soft wheat and its products.  Soft wheat differs from    
hard red and pasta wheats not only in endosperm             
characteristics, particularly with regard to kernel texture 
(hardness), bud also in protein strength (in general soft   
wheats are weaker), and protein content (soft wheats being  
lower). These differences enable soft wheat flour to be     
used in a variety of non- bread products such as cookies,   
biscuits, cakes, soup thickeners, pastries, etc. These      
sectors of the food industry add substantially more value   
to the wheat industry in Michigan.                          

Salient Trends                                              
Per acre yield has shown a general increase over the past   
three decades (Figure 1). Acreage planted has fluctuated    
considerably over that same period, at the general trend    
has been downwards (Figure 2). Major developments in        
farming technology during 30 years include deployment of    
new, higher yielding varieties, and increased levels of     
fertilizer and herbicide usage.                             

Adoption of improved varieties, particularly the white      
wheats, undoubtedly accounts for the majority of the        
increase in wheat yields during tht past 30 years. In fact, 
close analysis of the three- decade geld trends in Figure   
2 reveals a clear distinction between the 1980s yield       
levels and those of the previous two decades, with a clear  
breakpoint at exactly the time when the varieties           
Frankenmuth and Augusta were introduced to Michigan farms.  
The number of varieties of both red and white wheats        
available for sale in Michigan is increasing. White wheat   
acreage has been dominated for 10 years by Augusta and      
Frankenmuth, but they are consistently out-performed in MSU 
tests by newer soon-to be available white wheats. Numerous  
state and private origin red grained varieties have been    
available to Michigan farmers for several years and their   
numbers are alway's increasing. Recent yield test data      
clearly demonstrate continued genetic gain for wheat        
yields.                                                     

Michigan residents comprise a diverse group of people,      
including those of various ethnic backgrounds, trendsetters 
vying for novel food products, and health conscious         
individuals. For these reasons, as well as others, new soft 
wheat products introduced into the marhet are finding room  
in the kitchens of this state.                              

Assumptions for the 1990s                                   

Wheat acreage  will grow moderately with the current        
balance between red and white wheat shifting slightly       
towards red wheat. Soft winter wheat will continue as the   
predominant market class. The price of wheat will move      
upwards during the next decade but not dramatically.        
Conventional plant breeding efforts will bring a continuous 
stream of new varieties into Michigan. Continued genetic    
gains will be manifest in both yield potential and yield    
stability through both improved pest resistance and general 
adaptation and physiological efficiency. Pressure to        
decrease chemical inputs will increase, although input      
usage will remain relatively constant, and fungicide        
applications could increase. No major changes are evident   
in the pest scenario, although fluctuations will occur as   
to which pests cause damage in which years. Wheat acreage   
planted in reduced tillage systems could increase           
substantially. Input management will be continuously        
refined as farmers become increasingly more knowledgeable   
about the biology of wheat and its pests.                   

Utilization of different products extracted from mills will 
increase. The food industry will increase the variety of    
soft wheat products, particularly those targeted to         
different ethnic groups and to the health conscious sector  
in our society. Higher quality of products will be expected 
by more knowledgeable consumers.                            

Technological Developments in the 1990s and Beyond          
Genetic Improvement                                         

Short term: conventional plant breeding will continue to    
generate improved varieties. Wheat's natural genetic        
variation will allow continued improvements in grain yield  
and in development of more durable resistances to powdery   
mildew, leafrust, and WSSV. Reports from China of high      
levels of scab resistance in a close bat wild relative of   
wheat are tantalizing and may provide new opportunities for 
combatting this disease. The soft white germplasm base will 
be considerably expanded by introgression of improved gene  
complexes from the more dynamic soft red germplasm. Genes   
from wheat's relatives (rye, barley, goat grass, etc. )     
will continue to contribute to wheat's yield potential,     
disease resistance, and winter hardiness. Micro tests for   
more specific end use products will be further developed,   
enabling greater precision in selecting superior            
processing-quality wheats.                                  

Long term:                                                  
The breeding programs of the future will seamlessly         
incorporate both biotechnology and conventional breeding    
approaches.                                                 

Conventional breeding techniques will continue to discover  
improved combinations of native genes for a very long time. 
The wealth of native genetic diversity of wheat, or any     
crop for that matter, has barely been touched in the almost 
100 years that genetics based plant breeding has been       
practiced. Molecular marker technologies will facilitate    
both the identification and manipulation of the myriad      
genes influencing complex traits such as yield and          
development strategy. Biotechnology derived genes will      
extend wheat's native range of genetic potential. Once      
incorporated into wheat, they will be indistinguishable     
from native wheat genes.                                    

Current researc on the genetics and physiology of growth    
and development strategies at MSU and elsewhere will lead   
to ever refined definitions of the ideal wheat plant for    
Michigan. For instance, the ideal wheat plant may flower at 
the same time as today's earliest (and overall highest      
yielding) genotypes, but mature even later than today's     
latest maturing genotypes. Once confirmed as a sensible     
goal, such a developmental strategy might be achieved       
through conventional or iotechnological approaches.         

Biotechnologies for the direct insertion of new genes       
(transformation) into wheat are nearing the application     
phase of development. The next limiting factor will be the  
availability of novel, performance- enhancing genes for     
transformation. Genes encoding the protein coat of barley   
yellow dwarf virus are being cloned and may provide the     
basis for resistance to the disease once they are inserted  
into wheat. WSSV may also be attacked in this way.          
General anti-fungal genes may yield some measure of durable 
resistance to leaf rust, powdery mildew, scab, etc. Abiotic 
stress resistances may also be achieved through             
transformation with genes whose products mediate internal   
stresses due to heat, water, or freezing stress.            

Seed dormancy research will lead to increased dormancy of   
white and red wheat varieties. Molecular studies of the     
events during seed maturation, dormancy, and germination    
will eventually enable the biotechnology mediated           
elimination of sprouting as a problem. Wheat of the early   
to mid -21st century could arguably all be completely       
dormant and white grained, since that market class          
generally provides the greatest flexibility in end use      
applications. Perhaps wheat will be genetically engineered  
to be permanently dormant except in the presence of a       
chemical agent applied in the manner of a standard seed     
dressing.                                                   

The identification of specific seed components and the      
corresponding genetic systems which condition differential  
functionality of wheat in various end use products wffl     
enable more focused improvement of processing quality. This 
will result in a further splintering of the current market  
classes and ultimately lead to contract acreage and         
identity preservation systems.                              

Production                                                  
Pressures to reduce soil erosion, groundwater               
contamination, and general pesticide use will dictate       
changes in the management of wheat ire Michigan. Minimum    
tillage planting systems wl ommate Mic igan wheat acreage   
in the future, and fertilizer use will be more carefully    
managed. Fungicides and herbicide usage will be more        
closely tied to economic and environmental responses.       

The Seed Certification system should continue to play a     
significant role in ensuring the purity and identity of     
wheat seed, but serious challenges could arise from private 
seed companies which choose not to certify their varieties. 
Hybrid wheat remains a tantalizing possibility. Recent      
refinement of chemical gametocides for the first time       
allows hybrid wheat breeders to search for heterosis on the 
same scale as has been applied in sorghum and maize. Only   
time will tell if adequate levels of superiority of hybrids 
over pure lines can be found.                               

Utilization                                                 

Short term                                                  
Parameters of soft wheat quality are not as clearly defined 
as for bread and pasta wheats. Precise methodologies to     
quantify the quality of soft wheat for milling and baking   
performance need to be determined. Rapid tests to screen    
soft wheat lines for the presence of 1B/1R translocation    
genes from rye are required. These rye genes have a great   
impact on bread wheat processing quality. Rapid analyses    
will be developed to assess the quality of new varieties    
and commercial lots of soft wheat. New processing           
techniques will be introduced to utilize partially sprouted 
wheat in various food and non-food products. New products   
will be developed from a variety of flour constituents.     

Long term                                                   
The flour constituents (their relative amounts, molecular   
structure, and properties) that control, or contribute to,  
the functional properties during processing will be         
identified. Modification ofprocessing (e. g ., milling,     
dough mixing, baking, etc .) to maximize the yield and      
quality of the end product will be developed. Certain flour 
constituents will be explored for use in the food industry  
(starch and vital gluten) as well as for other industrial   
uses (starch for glue, protein for biodegradable polymers). 
These directions will be the keys to a competitive edge in  
national and international markets that lead Michigan's     
wheat industry into the 21st century.                       

Opportunities/Imperatives for Wheat Research and Extension  
at MSU                                                      

Michigan State University should deploy its resources to:   

1. Ensure continued cultivation of wheat by continuing the  
long tradition of aggressive development and deployment of  
high yielding and high quality soft wheat varieties, with   
particular emphasis on white wheat.                         

2. Increase the value and expand the marketability of       
Michigan wheat products through continued and enhanced      
support of the newly created cereal scientist position in   
the Department of Food Science and Human Nutrition. That    
position would particularly benefit from creation of        
technical positions dedicated to supporting its research    
mission.                                                    

3. Shore up the Michigan farmer's defense against new       
biotic threats by enhancing support for MSU pathologists    
and entomologists.                                          

4. Increase communication among all Michigan wheat industry 
components by continued and enhanced support for wheat      
extension.                                                  

Oats and Barley                                             
Russet Freed,                                               
Department of Crop and S@il Sciences                        

Oats                                                        

The significance of oats as a small grain crop in           
Michigan's production system is not adequately represented  
by acreage figures. Oats is grown both as a grain and a     
forage crop. Both play key roles in crop rotations to       
reduce disease, insect and weed build-ups, and to provide   
straw for livestock bedding. Oat grain has the highest      
protein levels among temperate cereals and a very desirable 
amino acid balance for young animals and nonruminating      
livestock. Each year a significant percentage of the        
harvested crop is utilized as human food.                   

Oats is an important cas crop per se or many farmers and    
serve as a locally produced, high-value feed crop           
especially in dairy and poultry industries. As a spring     
crop, it spreads out labor utilization and at harvest       
provides an early season cash flow. Some farmers use oats   
as a bow-cost means of establishing new legume seedings.    
Oats is one of the few crops which can be successfully      
grown on compacted soils resulting from wet season          
sugarbeet harvesting operations.                            

Production trends for oats in Michigan are downward. In     
1960, the state harvested 36 million bushels. During the    
1980s, production varied from 28 million in 1982 to 6       
million in 1988. The major reason for this downward trend   
has been the importation of large quantities from European  
Economic Community sources. In 1991 the U.S. imported 70    
million bushels from Sweden and Finland where farmers       
received a subsidized price of over five dollars per        
bushel.                                                     

During the last 30-year period, U.S. oat yields have been   
edging up, largely as a result of new and improved          
varieties. The development of new oat varieties has the     
potential of increasing yields another 20 bushels per acre. 
With the continued improvement in yields, there is a        
potential of increasing oat acreage in Michigan. No major   
changes in the demand for oats can be predicted. Animal     
feed and human food demands will not change significantly.  
The advent of new varieties and varieties with specific     
market demand characteristics will serve Do maintain or     
increase oat yield levels or to target specific market      
niches.                                                     

Production Technology will continue to focus on systems     
which require fewer purchased inputs. Other changes in      
production technology will focus upon very early spring     
planting to take advantage of that portion of the growing   
season most favorable for oats.                             

Barley yellow dwarf and crown rust are two diseases which   
significantly reduce yields in Michigan. These two diseases 
are controlled by using varieties with tolerance to the     
diseases.                                                   

Both state- and federally -supported research programs are  
reducing the number of full-time equivalent scientists      
working on oats. This is closely linked to the acreage sown 
to this crop. However, many regions are uniquely situated   
to take advantage of this crop's potential. For example,    
Michigan can compete very effectively in the horse feed     
market, which demands large seeded white oat types.         

The sustainability of our systems of agriculture will       
remain as a dominant issue in our society. Plant breeding   
programs in all crops can continue to have a significant    
impact on Michigan crops. Breeding of improved varieties    
can reduce chemical use, such as pesticides, decrease unit  
costs through increased yields, reduce losses due to        
drought and temperature extremes, improve nutritional       
qualities, and reduce fertilizer costs through more         
efficient nutrient uptake. Global climate change will       
require the development of new varieties if Michigan        
farmers are to remain compedtive.                           

A major unresolved issue is the ownership of new and        
improved genetic materials. This becomes especially true in 
a minor crop such as oats. Patents held by individual       
scientists on agricultural inventions could become a        
problem. State support for research through which the       
scientist can claim royalties for unique discoveries may    
not be appropriate. Incentives for excellence, other than   
royalties, need to be explored.                             

Barley                                                      

Barley has been an important spring cereal for Michigan's   
farmers for much of this century. However, Michigan barley  
acreage has gone down from 60,000 acres in 1986 to 45,000   
acres in 1990. Only about 10,000 acres are planted          
specifically for the malting barley market, while the       
remainder is grown as feed barley.                          

Since the Stroh Brewery in Detroit ceased its malting       
operations, malting barley purchased in Michigan has been   
shipped to Chicago, Buffalo, or other points for            
processing. With a widespread glut in the barley market,    
Michigan barley has not been competitive. Barley produced   
under our more humid growing conditions is not conducive to 
the production of "bright," the barley characteristic of    
dryer regions. "Brightness" is a trait sought agter by the  
malting industry.                                           

Barley is an excellent feed crop and can be effectively     
substituted or corn in rations or beef and dairy cattle. It 
can be harvested and ensiled as a high-moisture feed or,    
when ground, used in mixed feed concentrates. Barley can be 
grown in shorter-season, lower temperature regions, which   
makes it an ideal substitute for corn in northern           
latitudes.                                                  

Barley, like oats, has relatively low production costs and  
is an excellent crop in rotation with more intensively      
managed farm operations. It can be planted very early in    
the spring and can be used to spread out work loads and     
provide mid-season cash flows.                              

With the present cash grain demand levels, there is little  
reason to predict the re-emergence of barley as a major     
crop in Michigan. It can be grown successfully in the state 
and will continue to serve a variety of local purposes.     
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