Michigan State University Extension
Ag Experiment Station Special Reports - 03259572
07/28/98

Lumber, Furniture, Composition Panelsand Other Solidwood Products


January 1995     Special Report 72                          

Status and Potential of  Michigan Natural Resources         

Michigan Agricultural Experiment Station, Michigan State    
University                                                  

SPECIAL REPORT                                              

Lumber, Furniture, Composition Panels and Other Solidwood   
Products                                                    
Lead Author:   Jim Stevens, Department of Forestry, MSU     

INTRODUCTION                                                

The forests of Michigan provide many benefits to the        
state's citizens: wildlife habitat, recreation              
opportunities, clean water, erosion protection and a        
source of fuel for energy, as well as the raw materials     
for the wood-based products that consumers demand. This     
report deals only with forest products such as lumber,      
furniture and panels. It should be emphasized that these    
products, as important as they are to the economy,          
represent only a part of the value of our forests.          

MICHIGAN'S FOREST PRODUCTS INDUSTRIES                       

Michigan's forest products industries include the full      
range of production from stump to final product. This       
report will examine the solidwood industries, which         
include primary products and some consumer products, as     
well as composition panels-i.e., plywood and                
reconstituted board such as oriented strand board and       
medium density fiberboard (definitions of technical terms   
can be found in the glossary). Logging and the pulp and     
paper industry, both important contributors to the          
Michigan economy are excluded from this report. Further     
information on these industries can be found in SAPMINR     
Special Reports 71 and 73.                                  

Primary production of forest products refers to the         
conversion of  logs, pulp bolts or chips to something of    
value to society, such as fuel or intermediate products     
requiring further manufacture. Because logs have a          
relatively low value to weight (and value to volume)        
ratio, primary production is typically concentrated close   
to the woods. Michigan's timber resource increases from     
south to north in the Lower Peninsula and from east to      
west in the Upper Peninsula (Figure 1), with timberland     
being 21, 63, 77 and 84 percent of the area of the          
southern Lower Peninsula (Figure 2), northern Lower         
Peninsula, eastern Upper Peninsula and western Upper        
Peninsula,respectively.                                     

Logging, the conversion of standing trees into round        
timber products, has long been an important component of    
the Michigan economy. In the late 19th century, Michigan    
was the country's largest lumber producer, with a volume    
of 5.5 billion board feet of lumber produced in 1889, the   
peak year. In contrast, the sawlog production level in      
1990 was about 625 million board feet. The species          
composition has also changed since the boom of the last     
century. White pine and red pine were the primary species   
of that era, though large volumes of maple, oak and other   
hardwoods were also harvested. As the resource declined,    
the forests went through a long period characterized by     
little or no forest management. Natural succession plus a   
period of increased planting beginning in the 1930s         
produced the present mature forests. Today, hardwoods are   
the dominant commercial species in the state (Figure 3).    
This report will concentrate on three (primarily            
hardwood) inputs into the production process-veneer logs,   
sawlogs and pulpwood bolts; two intermediate products-      
veneer sheets and lumber; and four more processed products- 
panels, pallets, dimension products, and                    
furniture.                                                  

IMPORTANCE OF THE INDUSTRY                                  

Timber, the raw material of forest products industries,     
is concentrated in the rural areas of the state (Figure     
1). Many of the production facilities, however, are         
located in the more highly industrialized regions (Figure   
2). Sawmills are the exception-they are scattered           
throughout the state, with the heaviest concentration in    
the Upper Peninsula and the northern Lower Peninsula        
(Figure 4). Pallets and containers, on the other hand,      
are concentrated near the industrial areas of Detroit and   
Grand Rapids (Figure 5). Dimension, millwork and            
furniture show a more even distribution, with some          
concentration near these cities (Figures 6 and 7). The      
relative importance of wood products industries is          
greatest in the Upper Peninsula (Figure 8). Taken           
together, lumber and wood products (SIC 24) and paper and   
allied products (SIC 26) account for about half of the      
manufacturing employment in the region (see Appendix for    
descriptions of SIC categories). The 1987 total market      
value of agricultural products sold from the Upper          
Peninsula was $52.7 million (Census of Agriculture),        
while in the same year the payroll alone of wood products   
industries (SIC 24 only) was $57.8 million (Census of       
Manufactures). Statewide, the solidwood industries (SIC     
24, excluding logging and including wooden furniture from   
SIC 25) are as important in value of shipments as any of    
the state's processed food industries (Figure 9). When      
the value of shipments from paper mills (SIC 2621) in the   
state is considered, the significance of the forest         
industry's contribution to the state's economy becomes      
even more apparent.                                         

It is also important to note the contribution of the        
industry beyond direct employment. Chappelle et al.         
(1986) estimated that for every job directly accounted      
for by forest products industries, 1.31 additional jobs     
are created. Total employment associated with Michigan's    
forest products industry may be estimated by multiplying    
the reported 1993 Michigan Employment Security Commission   
employment total of 53,702 and the average employment       
multiplier of 2.31. Thus, more than 124,000 jobs are        
associated with Michigan's forest products industry.        
Applying an estimated total value-added multiplier of 2.0   
(Chappelle and Pedersen, 1991) to the summary information   
for forest products industry value-added (Table 1) gives    
an estimate of more than $5.5 billion in total              
value-added impacts from Michigan's forest product          
industries in 1991.                                         

The forest products industry as a whole is a significant    
contributor to the state economy (Figure 10).               
Forest-based industries-wood products (SIC 24), wood        
furniture (from SIC 25), and paper and allied products      
(SIC 26)-not only contribute a greater percentage of        
state employment than food manufacturing firms (SIC 20),    
but have a more positive employment trend over the past     
decade.                                                     

Various types of producers operate at different scales      
(Table 2). Sawmills, which are the most evenly              
distributed wood products industry across the state, tend   
to be small operations-80 percent having fewer than 16      
employees. The wood products industries concentrated in     
southern Michigan, particularly furniture and dimension     
plants, have a wider range of sizes. For example, 16        
percent of the hardwood dimension mills and 44 percent of   
veneer plants have more than 50 employees.                  

PRODUCTS                                                    

The solidwood/composite products produced in the state      
are derived from three log categories: veneer logs,         
sawlogs and pulp bolts. The largest diameter, highest       
quality logs of certain hardwood species, such as walnut    
and northern red oak, go into veneer log production.        
Though veneer logs can generically include relatively low   
value products, such as packaging, matches and              
chopsticks, the emphasis here is on the high value,         
sliced or peeled, furniture-quality veneers. Because of     
the high value of these logs, the rule to process close     
to the harvest site is often broken. Table 3 shows the      
destinations for initial processing of veneer logs          
harvested in Michigan. There is anecdotal evidence, thus    
far undocumented by any study, of increasing exports of     
veneer logs from Michigan to Europe and the Pacific Rim.    

LUMBER                                                      
The mid-value range of products produced in Michigan is     
from sawlogs that are converted into lumber. The lumber     
is dried and manufactured into furniture, cabinet work      
and pallets, or used directly to produce flooring,          
paneling, moulding and millwork. Higher quality lumber is   
mainly graded and sold as factory lumber or processed       
into dimension parts and finished products. Factory         
lumber comes in random widths and is graded by the number   
and size of clear cuttings that may be obtained. Most       
hardwood sawlogs are processed to produce the highest       
possible appearance grade lumber. After the yield of high   
value lumber is maximized during the sawing process,        
lower grade lumber or pallet parts are cut either at the    
same mill or a pallet plant.                                

Kiln-dried lumber has a number of advantages over green     
lumber, and for many manufactured wood products it is       
essential. Hardwood lumber drying is more critical than     
softwood lumber drying. Hardwood lumber must be dried to    
6 to 8 percent moisture content for furniture, compared     
with 15 to 19 percent for softwood construction material.   
Furniture hardwood lumber must also be dried more slowly    
to avoid drying problems such as splits, checks, warping    
and staining, which reduce the value and usefulness of      
the lumber.                                                 

The lumber kiln drying industry in Michigan has gone        
through some important changes since World War II. Before   
1945, most furniture companies had their own dry kilns      
and bought fresh cut lumber from the sawmills. After        
1945, custom kiln drying done by specialists at             
concentration yards became popular. In the past 10 years,   
more sawmills have installed dry kilns, thereby opening     
up new markets for themselves, especially for export.       
Sawmill-based drying has also reduced transportation        
degrade and inventory costs associated with wet, heavy      
lumber. Kiln drying lumber could almost be considered a     
separate industry essential for further value-added         
manufacturing of hardwoods. Currently about 300 companies   
are doing kiln drying in Michigan.                          

PALLETS                                                     

The largest market for hardwood lumber is for the           
manufacture of pallets. Made from the lowest grade          
lumber, pallets are used extensively in transporting        
manufactured and agricultural goods. For this reason,       
most of the pallet industry in Michigan is concentrated     
in the southern part of the state (Figure 5). Michigan      
has more pallet firms than any other state. This reflects   
the industrial demand as well as the high volume of low     
quality timber available. Many of these firms produce       
wood containers and other shipping materials as well.       
Because pallets do not travel far, success in this          
industry is closely tied to the health of the regional      
economy, particularly manufacturing and agriculture.        

DIMENSION STOCK                                             

The second group of products associated with lumber         
inputs consists of those produced by the hardwood           
dimension industry (SIC 2426). This industry produces       
rough, semi- and fully-machined wood components used in     
the production of a variety of products, including          
furniture, kitchen and vanity cabinets, interior trim and   
mouldings, staircases, and specialty items such as wall     
plaques, picture frames, musical instruments, kitchen       
items, tool handles and vehicle parts. Nationally,          
furniture and cabinet components account for about 80       
percent of the dimension industry's output. Success of      
the industry is tied to improvements in the general         
economy, specifically to increases in residential           
construction and remodeling, and increasingly to export     
markets.                                                    

FURNITURE                                                   

Michigan sawnwood is also an important input for the        
furniture industry. Though many furniture manufacturers     
are vertically integrated-that is, they produce their own   
wood component parts-there is a move in the industry to     
become more profitable by assembling purchased              
components. The majority of Michigan's furniture industry   
is classified as non-wood office furniture, but these       
firms use a substantial amount of wood components and       
sell to households as well. The top three contract office   
furniture producers in the United States_Steelcase,         
Herman Miller and Haworth_all headquartered in Michigan,    
use 40, 90 and 31 percent wood, respectively in their       
metal/wood material mix (Derning, 1993). The office         
furniture sector in general uses the most wood for desks,   
storage units and seating, with wood furniture accounting   
for about 40 percent of the $3.5 billion value of           
shipments of these products in 1992 (Sullivan, 1994).       

Slightly over 50 percent of the state's total furniture     
industry employment is concentrated in and around Grand     
Rapids (MESC, 1993). This concentration of furniture        
firms accounts for a significant proportion of the total    
U.S. office furniture market. Michigan's importance is      
much greater within certain segments of the industry. For   
example, Michigan leads the nation in production of         
non-wood seating, non-wood office storage units, and        
public building and related furniture, and it accounts      
for 75 percent of all modular furniture systems built in    
the United States (Michigan Jobs Commission, 1993).         
Michigan accounted for 14 percent of total U.S. office      
furniture employment in 1989 (Davis, 1991).                 

COMPOSITION PANELS                                          

The lowest value solid wood or composite input is           
pulpwood. These small diameter bolts have traditionally     
gone into pulp, paper and paperboard products (see          
SAPMINR Special Report 73). Increasingly, however, they     
have been used in the production of fiberboard, oriented    
strand board (OSB) and particleboard, all of which use      
wood shavings and/or wood flakes as their primary           
furnish.                                                    

Panel products are generally divided into two groups:       
structural panels (softwood plywood, OSB and waferboard)    
and non-structural panels (hardwood plywood, insulating     
board, hardboard, medium density fiberboard (MDF) and       
particleboard). New residential construction is the         
largest consumer of structural panels, accounting for       
approximately 37 percent of production, followed by         
repair and remodeling (29 percent), industrial              
applications (13 percent) and non-residential               
construction (8 percent) (Haynes, 1993). Though lumped      
together by end use, non-structural panels are distinctly   
different. Hardwood veneer and plywood are made from logs   
that are either peeled or sliced. Hardboard, insulating     
board and MDF are produced from thermo-mechanical wood      
pulp. Fiberboard, OSB and particleboard plants use          
roundwood, chips or shavings as their primary furnish.      
Both particleboard and hardboard are marketed beyond the    
Lake States, principally to furniture plants in the Lower   
North Central States (Stier, 1990).                         
Flakeboard (OSB and waferboard) production had a huge       
capacity increase in the Lake States in the 1970s and       
early 1980s. OSB now makes up about 30 percent of           
structural panel shipments in the United States. In         
Michigan, this increase is closely tied to use of aspen.    
In fact, most of the increase in wood pulp consumption      
can be accounted for by increased use of aspen for          
flakeboard production.                                      

OTHER PRODUCTS                                              

Many other industries in Michigan use wood products to      
some degree. The Michigan Department of Natural Resources   
(MDNR) directory lists 338 firms that produce               
miscellaneous wood products. These range from crafts to     
automobile parts. In-depth discussion of these firms is     
beyond the scope of this report. Suffice it to say that     
many companies in addition to those traditionally           
associated with the forest products industry depend on      
the timber resource for all or part of their production.    

A final industry, treated wood products, though small,      
should be included. Of the 10 wood-preserving firms in      
Michigan, nine have fewer than 30 employees. Their          
products include treated utility poles, fences and          
decking, railroad ties, bridge timbers and products for     
other uses where moisture and insect or decay attack are    
potential problems.                                         

ASSUMPTIONS TO 2000                                         

This section identifies the trends in four areas-           
international trade, raw material availability,             
environmental issues and technology-and discusses           
assumptions about their continued impact on Michigan        
forest products industries.                                 

LOWERING OF TRADE BARRIERS                                  

The recent passage of the North American Free Trade         
Agreement (NAFTA) and the Uruguay Round of the General      
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) continue trade        
liberalization policies that the world has adopted since    
the end of World War II. As these tariff reduction          
schedules go into effect over the next decade, U.S.         
exports, particularly of more highly processed products     
such as furniture, should be expected to increase. On       
January 1, 1993, for example, tariffs on particleboard,     
waferboard and OSB were eliminated under the U.S.-Canada    
Free Trade Agreement. This action followed resolution of    
issues relating to performance standards for softwood       
plywood and other structural panels in construction         
applications. The total value of wood products exports to   
Canada, the industry's largest foreign market, increased    
18 percent to about $99 million that year. NAFTA calls      
for a five-year phaseout of Mexican tariffs on MDF,         
hardboard and insulation board, and a 10-year phaseout of   
tariffs on particleboard and OSB. These reductions should   
enhance export opportunities.                               

Exchange rates are an important factor in trade flows. At   
constant prices, a decrease in the value of the U.S.        
dollar relative to the currency of a trading partner        
makes U.S. forest products delivered to that country less   
expensive and therefore more competitive. Over the past     
25 years, the value of the U.S. dollar has weakened         
relative to the currencies of two major trading partners,   
Japan and Germany (360 yen/$ and 4 marks/$ in 1967 vs.      
100 yen/$ and 1.55 marks/$ today). Over the same period,    
the dollar has strengthened vs. the currencies of two       
other major partners, Canada and Great Britain (1.07        
Cn$/U.S.$ and .36 pound/$ in 1967 vs. 1.38 Cn$/U.S.$ and    
.66 pound/$ today). One of the results of these             
fluctuations in exchange rates is that they can buffer      
(or exaggerate) increases in prices. During the past        
three years, the Hardwood Review export index of 31 key     
North American hardwood items has gone from about $965 to   
$1,284 (a 33 percent increase). Because of the weakening    
of the U.S. dollar compared with the yen, the export        
index for hardwood products shipped to Japan during the     
same period actually decreased from 151,981 yen to          
149,556 (-2 percent), making exported forest products       
cheaper in Japan in spite of their increases in U.S.        
dollar prices. The index to Germany increased from DM       
1,836 to 2,310 (+26 percent) and the British index          
increased from 618 pounds to 935 (+51 percent). Given a     
(probably less drastic) continuation of the exchange rate   
trends discussed above, the buffering effect of exchange    
rates should continue with Japan and Germany and will       
probably continue to work against exports to Canada and     
Britain.                                                    

Regional trade agreements will be expanded as plans go      
forward to implement a North America/South America Free     
Trade Agreement covering a region with 835 million          
people. As other non-tariff barriers are reduced, such as   
restrictive building codes or lumber regrading              
requirements, trade in primary products will increase.      
Increased overseas acceptance of U.S. species and wood      
products should continue as the benefits of years of        
international marketing efforts by companies and trade      
associations accrue. Continued implementation of the        
U.S.-Japan Wood Products Agreement should help open the     
Japanese residential construction market to U.S. exports.   

Free trade is a double-edged sword, and imports of          
hardwoods are likely to increase as lumber becomes          
available from areas in the former Soviet republics,        
Argentina, Chile and possibly China. Hardboard increases    
are also likely from Brazilian eucalyptus plantations. An   
exception to the increase in free trade will be the         
continued pressure for the restriction of log exporting     
as all countries, including the United States, attempt to   
capture more value-added processing.                        

REGIONAL RAW MATERIAL SCARCITY                              

If present trends continue, there will be continued         
pressure on supply for some species in certain regions of   
the state. Notable examples are the demand for aspen in     
the northern Lower Peninsula for pulp and panel             
production and the statewide demand for veneer quality      
oak, primarily for furniture and cabinet manufacture.       
There are reports of northern white cedar scarcity as       
well. In contrast, the recent hard maple price increases    
indicate expanding demand for this abundant species.        

The dominant Michigan forest type is maple-birch,           
accounting for 44.6 percent of the growing stock volume,    
followed by aspen-birch (14.4 percent), oak-hickory (11     
percent) and pine (10.2 percent). Of the valuable           
oak-hickory type, 44 percent is pole timber and only 20     
percent is sawtimber. On the consumption side, in           
contrast, red or white oak accounts for 50 percent of       
hardwood volume used in furniture manufacture, 56 percent   
of export volume, 95 percent of flooring, and 67 percent    
of stock kitchen and bath cabinets (Weekly Hardwood         
Review, October 1, 1993).                                   

ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES                                        

Environmental issues will continue to be critical to all    
forest products industries. Forest managers and the         
industries that use forest products will need to be         
increasingly aware of public sensitivity to environmental   
issues. The need for educational programs about forest      
resource management will continue. This awareness may       
lead to more "green marketing" as certification programs    
become established to show that wood products have come     
from sustainable, environmentally sound operations.         
Ecosystem management concepts will move increasingly from   
theory to application, with potential implications for      
timber availability. This is likely to remove some areas    
from timber production but may also lead to the             
designation of other areas for intensive forest             
management.                                                 

ACCESS TO TECHNOLOGY                                        

The industry will see a continued increase in the use of    
computers and other sophisticated electronics in both       
manufacturing and sales. Many of the technological          
advances are detailed in a later section. Those producers   
that can adapt to an increasingly computerized              
manufacturing atmosphere will be the most likely to         
prosper. The advent of the fax machine and low-cost         
computing has allowed small businesses to compete in        
world markets that previously were open only to larger,     
more well-financed operations. As the globalization of      
markets continues to increase, more businesses will be      
able to respond effectively to customers across the         
state, across the country or across the ocean.              

ISSUES AND PROJECTIONS                                      

The most important issues facing Michigan's forest          
products industry center on four interrelated areas:        
supply of raw material, changes in demand, technological    
change and changes in operating requirements. Underlying    
all these issues is the concern for jobs.                   

WOOD SUPPLY                                                 

Detailed analysis of Michigan's timber supply can be        
found in SAPMINR Special Report 71. Though the state's      
inventory of standing timber is increasing, there is        
cause for concern about the future availability of both     
private and public timber. The recent increases in          
stumpage prices of many species, while worrisome to         
processors, have the potential to bring more timber on      
the market and encourage increased forest management        
activities by landowners. Much of the pressure has been     
on the smaller diameter trees used in the production of     
paper and panels. Though a market for small diameter        
trees is essential to grow higher value products            
economically by creating outlets for intermediate           
harvests, increased prices for smaller diameter trees may   
discourage the longer term investments necessary for        
long-rotation timber.                                       

Another obvious trend is the changing demographic picture   
in the state. Many owners of timberland are second-home     
owners, hunting clubs and others whose primary interest     
is with other values besides timber. Land is also           
increasingly being fragmented into smaller parcels as       
larger blocks are subdivided into home sites. A recent      
study by Nelson (1994) showed that though 40 percent of     
landowners surveyed in the northern Lower Peninsula had     
sold timber from their land, only 8 percent had             
management plans. Sustained timber production may be a      
low priority with many landowners.                          

Competition from other wood-using sectors is increasing.    
Many energy co-generation plants have been built in the     
state; in some cases, these plants are competing for the    
same raw materials as the wood products industries. A       
related issue is the increased competition among the        
various producers of forest products. As mentioned          
earlier, producers generally use the smallest diameter      
trees for pulp and composite boards, mid- to large          
diameter logs for lumber and the largest, highest quality   
logs for veneer. The need to keep pulp and composite        
plants supplied to near full capacity has meant that the    
diameter of the furnish to these plants fluctuates and      
sometimes includes larger diameter bolts. At the same       
time, there are fewer of the large diameter logs, as the    
oldest, highest quality logs are harvested. This puts       
additional pressure on sawlog availability in the           
mid-diameter classes and has been a contributing factor     
in the rise and projected continued increase in sawtimber   
prices (Figure 11).                                         

DEMAND ISSUES                                               

On the consumption side, a number of factors will affect    
the forest products industry in Michigan. These include     
substitution of non-wood materials for wood, substitution   
of lower cost wood products for increasingly expensive      
traditional wood products, changes in demand for            
particular end products and changes in export markets.      

SUBSTITUTION                                                

As prices increase, consumers look for lower cost           
substitute products. Recent trends suggest that Michigan    
producers may benefit from this substitution to the         
extent that hardwood can substitute for traditional         
softwood construction uses. This process is likely to       
accelerate as the domestic softwood supply, particularly    
from public lands in the West, is reduced through           
increased harvesting restrictions. Another example of       
wood for wood substitution is the displacement of           
dimension lumber by sheathing, first by plywood and more    
recently by composition panels. On the other hand,          
possibilities exist for non-wood materials to be            
substituted for traditional wood uses. An example is        
recycled plastics currently being used in deck              
construction and outdoor furniture.                         

END PRODUCT DEMAND                                          

The demand for softwood products is cyclical, with the      
housing market in the United States being the largest       
contributor to this pattern (Figure 12). Demand for most    
hardwood products, though still tied to housing, is more    
closely correlated with the measures of the general         
health of local and national economies and, increasingly,   
the international economy. Table 4 shows the U.S. Forest    
Service's projections of domestic timber consumption for    
the next 50 years. Though shipping, manufacturing and       
residential upkeep all started at roughly the same level    
in the early 1960s, residential upkeep and improvement      
has greatly outdistanced the other two. This level is       
projected to double over the next 50 years.                 

PALLETS AND DIMENSION PRODUCTS                              

Demand for both pallets and dimension products is           
expected to rise over the next decade. Pallets are          
expected to increase nationally from 420 million to 550     
million units (Figure 13). Dimension product demand is      
projected to grow at an average rate of 2 percent per       
year over the next 10 years (Banzhaf, 1992). This           
indicates that a steady market will exist for the smaller   
diameter, lower quality hardwoods that Michigan has in      
abundance. The major growth areas for hardwood dimension    
products will be in remodeling and export markets           
(Lawser, 1993).                                             

FURNITURE                                                   

The office furniture industry (SIC 252) is divided into     
wood (SIC 2521) and non-wood (SIC 2522) sectors.            
Tremendous growth in U.S. office furniture sales occurred   
from the mid-1970s through the late 1980s. Sales grew       
from $1.4 billion in 1976 to more than $7.8 billion in      
1989, reflecting the expansion in the economy's service     
sector and an office construction boom. Correspondingly,    
office furniture sales have flattened out or slightly       
declined in recent years because of corporate staff         
reductions and a lack of new office construction in light   
of excess capacity and vacancies in existing commercial     
office buildings. This lack of expansion will dampen        
growth in domestic office furniture sales.                  

Nationally, household furniture shipments were relatively   
stable from the late 1980s to the early 1990s, at just      
below $20 billion annually (Department of Commerce,         
1994). However, in contrast to the office furniture         
market, the household furniture market should experience    
growth in the near term, and this growth may well           
continue for several years.                                 

The two major positive influences on the market are         
fairly certain: low interest rates and favorable            
demographics. Also, unlike the office furniture market,     
which is tied to an overbuilt commercial sector that may    
take years to absorb the excess supply of office space,     
household furniture is tied to the home construction        
industry, which appears more poised for growth.             

Housing starts are the single major determinant of          
household furniture demand, and interest rates, in turn,    
are a major determinant of housing starts. Most forecasts   
and industry sources predict that interest rates may rise   
only modestly for the next several years and that the       
level of housing starts may increase as a result.           

Growth in remodeling of existing homes has increased more   
than new housing starts, contributing to significant        
growth in both furniture and cabinet sales. The aging       
baby boomer group is also expected to add to furniture      
demand as they enter their prime income-earning years and   
replace their low- to medium-priced furniture purchased     
in the 1980s. In this vein, Michigan's household            
furniture firms are well positioned, as they are largely    
considered "high-end" or "upscale" furniture makers,        
primarily selling expensive, quality pieces.                

Epperson (1993) offers this summary of the positive and     
negative trends that will affect the furniture industry:    

Negatives                      Positives                    
Fewer household formations    Larger homes being built      
Reduced mobility              Longer time horizon           
More minimum-wage jobs        More disposable income        
Increased insurance costs     Second homes                  
Growth in service sector      Inheritances                  
Fewer manufacturing jobs      Higher savings                
Convenience shopping          Demand for high product       
                               value                        

EXPORT DEMAND TRENDS                                        

Forest products exports from Michigan have shown a strong   
positive trend over the past four years (Table 5). As       
might be expected by its proximity, Michigan's biggest      
customer is Canada. The Canadian numbers may be             
misleading, however, because as much as 20 percent of the   
products exported to Canada are being re-exported to        
Europe (Armstrong et al., 1992). If the economies of the    
biggest U.S. trading partners pick up over the next few     
years, it is anticipated that exports will increase         
significantly. To insulate themselves from cyclical         
domestic demand and to exploit new markets, Michigan        
producers in most wood product categories have increased    
their export activities. An MDNR survey of Michigan wood    
products manufacturers showed that 472 firms are            
currently exporting and that another 388 are interested     
in exporting. The outlook for increased foreign trade in    
unassembled wood furniture and furniture parts looks        
particularly promising. From 1986 to 1992, U.S. furniture   
exports dramatically increased (at greater than a 33        
percent annual rate); however, furniture imports still      
exceed exports by 4 to 1.                                   

TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT                                   

Much of the change in technology evident in Michigan wood   
production is in response to the changing nature of the     
raw materials available. As average wood size decreases,    
processes such as finger jointing and gluing of smaller     
pieces of wood are more commonly used. Other efforts to     
stay competitive include adoption of labor-saving           
technology and increased value-added production. The        
following sections give an overview of the types of         
technological change taking place by product. The           
discussion is predominantly drawn from the U.S. Forest      
Service publication An Analysis of the Timber Situation     
in the United States: 1989-2040 (Haynes, 1990).             

HARDWOOD LUMBER AND DIMENSION STOCK                         

The main pressures to improve or change hardwood lumber     
processing techniques stem from the need to manufacture     
sufficient better grade material to meet export and         
domestic demand. Modernization, computer-aided              
manufacturing and computer-controlled processing are key    
elements in this change. Computerized log shape scanning    
and computerized sawing decision technology are available   
and being adopted by some large mills. Computer-aided       
edging and trimming are also coming into use. Saw kerfs     
will continue to get narrower in an attempt to reduce the   
12 to 18 percent of a log that ends up as sawdust.          

A system that incorporates many of the above technologies   
is the Automated Lumber Processing System (ALPS). In the    
ALPS, logs are scanned internally to locate the position    
of internal defects. Computers use the position of          
defects to determine and control log breakdown to           
maximize grade or value yield of boards. After drying and   
superficial surfacing, video image analysis locates and     
classifies defects on each board. Cutting is then carried   
out by computer-controlled conventional cutting or          
high-powered laser cutting.                                 

Greater use of predryers and computer controls that allow   
smooth or continuous curve drying are improving grade       
recovery by reducing degrade in the drying process. The     
use of vacuum kilns will increase but, because of the       
energy costs per board foot, they will continue to be a     
very small percentage of the new kiln market.               
Dehumidification kilns will become less attractive          
because of the high cost of approved (R134A) freon          
(Mathews, 1993). The emphasis will be on increasing the     
energy efficiency of existing technology.                   

New products such as hardwood laminated veneer lumber-      
thick, defect-free panels produced from low-grade timber-   
may replace hardwood lumber in some markets. Another        
potential technology being studied is the production of     
various composites of wood and other materials, such as     
wood and plastic (Balatinecz and Woodhams, 1993) or wood    
and cement (Moslemi, 1993).                                 

Lumber manufacturers will move into producing rough         
dimension lumber, while rough dimension manufacturers       
will produce more semi- and fully-machined wood component   
parts. Dimension producers are developing ways to use       
more of the lower grades of lumber and the less popular     
species of wood. The use of computerized optimizing saws    
is increasing in dimension plants.                          

The Forestry Department at Michigan State University is     
addressing the issue of increased utilization through a     
research project on efficient conversion of hardwood        
sawlogs to furniture dimensions. This conversion is         
currently a two-step process, with the grade lumber being   
produced as a commodity in the sawmill and furniture        
dimensions being manufactured from grade lumber in the      
furniture plant. This system encourages the optimization    
of grade lumber value yield from the log in the sawmill.    
Evidence exists that this occurs at the expense of          
dimension volume yield which, of course, is of primary      
interest from the standpoint of prudent resource            
utilization. The research effort will explore various       
sawing methods and modification of lumber grading rules     
and the economic impacts of adopting these changes.         

PANEL PROCESSING                                            

Technology developments in processing oriented strand       
board and waferboard are likely to focus on two areas:      
increasing their range of applications and decreasing       
wood loss during the flaking, forming and trimming          
processes.                                                  

Oriented strand board and waferboard have been used as      
sheathing in walls and roofs and for floor underlayment.    
The technology has recently been developed for              
applications such as concrete forms and siding. Suitable    
performance is being achieved by using phenolic paper       
overlays to stabilize the surface and to provide a          
suitable basis for paint or concrete forming. To improve    
panel stability, the trend has been to replace phenolic     
adhesives with isocyanate adhesives, though problems of     
toxicity and adhesion to steel presses have limited the     
substitution.                                               

Technology improvements in structural and non-structural    
panel processing will increase the substitution of panels   
for lumber. As a result, demand will increase for           
hardwood veneer and for panels using paper overlays. This   
substitution will reduce the demand for medium to high      
grade hardwood lumber as a greater proportion of product    
volume uses more efficient panel-making techniques to       
convert logs to products.                                   

The most likely change in veneer processing technology is   
the trend to thinner veneers. Veneers in the United         
States measure from 0.61 to 0.71 mm; European veneers       
measure around 0.51 to 0.61 mm, and Japanese veneers, 0.2   
to 0.4 mm. New standards have been proposed (Wood & Wood    
Products, 1993), but the transition involves investment     
in new machinery and increased difficulty in handling       
that may slow the change.                                   

PALLETS                                                     

Sawmills have traditionally used the lower grade lumber     
they produce for pallets. Today up to half of all pallets   
are produced using nailing machines, and a limited number   
of producers have large modern facilities with automated    
sawing, lay-up and nailing. Pallet recycling has become a   
significant part of the industry                            

Pallets have traditionally been designed to support the     
heaviest possible load. This results in excessive lumber    
use. Computerized pallet design systems permit producers    
to quickly change pallet design to suit the type of load.   
A trend toward expendable pallets is reversing because of   
increased emphasis on source reduction in packaging,        
higher raw material costs and general environmental         
concerns. Lumber consumption in pallets may also decrease   
as more composite materials are used in pallets. Growth     
in pallet production is also expected to be held down by    
the virtual saturation of industries that can use           
palletized shipping.                                        

FURNITURE                                                   

Technology developments such as the ALPS may reduce the     
amount of wood needed to make a given furniture part or     
reduce the proportion of high grade lumber needed to make   
a given set of parts. Growth and improvements in existing   
technologies such as edge, end and finger jointing and      
computer-assisted cross- and rip sawing are now             
increasing both lumber recovery value and volume. Better    
finishing of less desirable species is increasing as        
well. Other technologies, such as computer numerical        
control of woodworking operations in furniture plants,      
are lowering costs by speeding production, improving        
accuracy and using labor more efficiently. Overall,         
hardwood lumber use per unit of furniture production is     
expected to fall, even though use for high value            
furniture may increase (Haynes, 1990).                      

CHANGES IN OPERATING REQUIREMENTS                           

To make business investment decisions, firms would like     
to be able to predict the future with certainty. This, of   
course, is not possible, but firms form expectations of     
future demand and prices on which to base investment        
decisions. There is probably no area of greater             
uncertainty than the extent of future public regulation.    
In the past decade, the forest products industry has had    
to become more involved in the public decision making       
process as political decisions have had more impact on      
the industry than ever before. The need for this            
involvement has been brought about by increased public      
awareness of environmental issues and concern for the       
environment. Legislatures have responded by intervening     
more frequently in decisions that have traditionally been   
left to land managers and landowners. For example, laws     
have been passed at state and national levels regulating    
clear-cuts and designating approved management practices.   

Some policy decisions may have a positive effect on         
regional demand. As domestic softwood timberlands are       
withdrawn from harvest, there will be a general trend       
toward greater use of hardwood lumber for structural        
applications. A grading system has been established and     
lumber grading agencies have been certified by the          
American Lumber Standards Committee for hardwood            
structural lumber. The hardwood structural lumber grading   
system has been approved for use by model building codes.   

Other laws and public policy decisions have impacts on      
forest products industries. Many of these are directly      
related to timber supply and are covered in SAPMINR         
Special Report 71. These include the Commercial Forest      
Act and the Forest Practices Act, below-cost timber         
sales, threatened and endangered species, wetlands and      
other issues, as well as changes in management policy as    
forest management moves from stand-level decision making    
to landscape (or ecosystem) management. Other legislative   
issues relevant to the forest products industries relate    
to worker protection from pesticides, wood dust and other   
noxious substances, and hazardous waste disposal            
regulations.                                                

The forest products industry, like other manufacturing      
industries, produces some amount of hazardous material      
requiring safe disposal. The amount of hazardous            
materials generated varies greatly among segments of the    
forest industry. The furniture industry, the                
pressure-treated wood preservative industry (mainly         
softwoods in Michigan), and the pulp and paper industry     
(discussed in SAPMINR Special Report 73) probably           
generate the largest volume of hazardous materials within   
the industry.                                               

Most wood furniture produced in Michigan undergoes some     
type of finishing treatment (such as painting or staining   
and lacquering) as part of the manufacturing process.       
Traditionally, many of these finishes have been             
petroleum-based and chemically very volatile. Thus, many    
pose environmental and health risks that require safe       
disposal of wastes as well as protection of workers         
applying these finishes.                                    

Current trends within the furniture industry are focusing   
on ways to minimize use of these finishing compounds to     
achieve compliance with air quality regulations and         
worker protection standards. Some states, such as           
California, already have strict air quality laws that       
greatly restrict the amount of emissions from furniture     
plants. This trend is expected to continue in other         
states, too. Consequently, many furniture industries are    
researching the use of water-based paints, stains and       
lacquers and high volume, low pressure spraying systems.    

Another segment of the wood industry in Michigan that       
generates hazardous wastes is the pressure-treated wood     
preservative industry. Wood preservatives, by their         
chemical nature, tend to be potent (many preservatives      
contain heavy metals) because they must protect lumber      
from invasion by both insects and wood-rotting fungi.       
Many wood treatment plants in Michigan, because of the      
state's strict environmental regulations, no longer use     
certain types of preservative treatments, such as           
pentachlorophenol and creosote.                             

Consequently, most of the treatment plants operating in     
Michigan use chromated copper arsenate (CCA) and related    
compounds. Many of these plants are required by law to      
reuse and recycle as much of the chemical preservative as   
possible through the use of reclamation pads to collect     
drippings and other methods of capturing unused             
preservative not taken up by the lumber being treated.      
However, certain amounts of preservative and                
preservative-treated wood scraps are generated and must     
be disposed.                                                

The pressure-treated wood preservative industry is          
researching new chemicals that pose fewer environmental     
and/or health risks and new treatment processes or          
methods that minimize exposure to both workers and end      
users of the treated wood product (e.g., the addition of    
sealers into the wood preservative solution). Stricter      
environmental laws in Michigan could further curtail the    
preservative-treated wood industry in the state.            

A related area of public concern is the recycling of wood   
waste. The Environmental Protection Agency estimates that   
56 million tons of wood and paper currently go into U.S.    
landfills-a quantity three times the 1990 timber harvest    
from national forests. Though wood accounts for only 7      
percent of landfill volume, a variety of new technologies   
are being explored to use recycled wood (Dietzman, 1993).   

Closely related to the hazardous waste issue affecting      
the forest industry is worker protection from noxious       
substances. In addition to the hazardous substances         
described above, other noxious substances found within      
the wood industry workplace include wood dust and           
pesticides. Both of these substances require the industry   
to protect workers and minimize exposure.                   

Exposure to fine-textured wood dust particles that          
woodworkers can inhale is a controversial issue that has    
lately received much attention. There is some medical       
evidence that indicates that long-term exposure to wood     
dust can cause health problems ranging from chronic         
respiratory problems to possibly more serious problems      
such as lung cancer.                                        

Consequently, at issue is the amount of fugitive wood       
dust that should be permissible in the workplace. The       
wood industry considers 5 mg/m3 of wood dust to be an       
acceptable standard, but woodworking unions are seeking     
to make 2.5 mg/m3 the accepted maximum standard. This       
issue is still not resolved, and a recent court decision    
has temporarily suspended the OSHA regulation that          
governs wood dust and more than 400 other noxious           
substances found in the workplace.                          

Pesticides in the workplace are also a concern in some      
segments of the forest industry. The forest industry in     
Michigan, unlike forest industries in the southern or       
western states, does not use large amounts of pesticides    
on forested lands for site preparation, conifer release     
or pest control, but use of pesticides and herbicides in    
the production of some tree species does occur on both      
public and private lands.                                   

Other uses of pesticides in the forest industry include     
the use of pesticides that prevent wood-staining            
microorganisms (primarily fungi and bacteria) from          
discoloring logs and/or freshly sawn green lumber. Also,    
as mentioned above, the pressure-treated wood               
preservative industry depends totally on pesticides         
(i.e., wood preservatives) in the manufacturing of their    
particular product lines.                                   

Another public policy issue is the state's commitment to    
encouraging new businesses. Michigan has been active in     
attracting new forest products industries to the state.     
Promotion of a proposed medium density fiberboard plant     
in McBain is a current example. Though new plant            
investments have been made in the state over the past few   
decades (e.g., the Champion paper mill in Quinnesec, the    
Georgia Pacific particleboard plant in Gaylord and the      
Weyerhaeuser oriented strand board plant in Grayling),      
studies (PHH Fantus, 1993, for example) have suggested      
that Michigan's most promising employment future is in      
retaining and expanding existing industries. State          
efforts and incentives to encourage expanded value-added    
manufacture in the wood products industries should          
continue to be the cornerstone of employment enhancement    
initiatives.                                                

EMERGING ISSUES AND RESEARCH NEEDS                          

The status of the solidwood industries in Michigan is       
quite healthy. Michigan is well situated with ample         
resources, a well developed infrastructure, proximity to    
major markets and a highly skilled work force that          
produces quality wood products. The potential for the       
industries to prosper and grow into the next century        
depends on how well they adapt in two critical areas: the   
sustainability of the resource and competitiveness.         

RESOURCE SUSTAINABILITY                                     

Forest resource sustainability_making sure that resources   
are at least as available to future generations as they     
are today_depends on good forest management and on          
continued improvement of resource utilization. As land      
management philosophy moves away from stand management to   
ecosystem management, foresters and the wood products       
industry must adjust to the new realities. They must be     
involved in research and applications that allow the        
compatible use of wood resources within the larger          
ecosystem setting. This is a unique opportunity for land    
managers and researchers to have a significant input into   
how the concept of ecosystem management is implemented.     
Geographic information systems could become the primary     
tool for analyzing the complex and multifaceted ecosystem   
approach. The data requirements for ecosystem management    
are formidable. Projects should be undertaken now that      
begin the data collection and analysis process on a         
subregional scale to develop the tools necessary to         
tackle state and regional ecosystem analysis in the near    
future.                                                     

Improved utilization is the second requirement for          
resource sustainability. The wood-using industries cover    
a wide range of production technologies. The industries     
covered in this report range from the small,                
labor-intensive types such as pallet operations to large,   
capital-intensive panel mills (Table 2). They also range    
from relatively unprocessed materials such as green         
rough-sawn lumber to furniture. The trend in new            
investment has been toward increasingly more efficient      
resource utilization. A particleboard plant or an OSB       
plant has utilization rates as high as 80 percent. These    
enterprises use smaller diameter bolts, which require       
less labor to harvest than larger diameter trees. The       
output from these operations, in turn, largely goes to      
the most efficient manufacturers, such as the               
ready-to-assemble furniture companies.                      

This increased efficiency has important employment          
implications. The inevitable result of increased            
productivity is that these industries generate less         
employment per ton of resource and less income per unit     
of output than older or more labor-intensive                
technologies. The uncertainty of the sustainability of      
specific timber resources in certain regions of the state   
means that the impact of resource-intensive industries      
can be great. Resource availability/sustainability should   
be a key consideration in attracting and offering           
incentives for expansion of wood products industries.       
With more emphasis placed on sustainable resource use and   
with a balanced mix of resource-intensive and               
labor-intensive industries, sustainable employment levels   
will follow.                                                

Competitiveness                                             

The continued competitiveness of Michigan forest products   
industries can be maintained if companies are flexible      
enough to adapt to changing technology and market           
conditions. Those companies that keep up with the pace of   
technological innovation mentioned earlier in this report   
will be able to continue to offer the reasonably priced,    
high quality products that consumers demand. Many           
Michigan companies have already made significant            
investments in improved technology and are leading the      
way in this effort. To assist the others, institutions      
such as Michigan State University must be committed to      
offering continuing training in state-of-the-art            
manufacturing techniques.                                   

The other aspect of competitiveness is the ability to       
expand existing markets. Small businesses need assistance   
in developing market analyses and strategies to allow       
them to compete in national and international markets,      
where the greatest opportunities for expansion exist. As    
noted earlier, the technology exists for modest-sized       
firms to compete globally, but start-up assistance is       
often essential. Many organizations in the state, both      
public and private, offer marketing assistance. A           
coordinated effort within the state to increase access to   
these various services should be a top priority.            

Figure 1.  Percentage of forested land and population in    
Michigan, by region, 1993. Sources:Potter-Witter, 1994;     
U.S. Bureau of the Census.                                  
Figure 2.  Number of forest products establishments, by     
industry, by region, 1990. Source: U.S. Department of       
Commerce, 1992.  Note: SIC Codes are defined in the         
Appendix.                                                   

Figure 3.  Michigan sawlog production, by region, 1993.     
Source: Hackett and Pilon, 1993                             

Figure 4.  Number of sawmills in Michigan, by county,       
1993 Source:  Michigan Department of Natural Resources,     
1993.                                                       

Figure 5.  Number of pallet and wood container mills in     
Michigan, by county, 1993 Source: Michigan Department of    
Natural Resources, 1993.                                    

Figure 6.  Number of dimension products and millwork        
plants in Michigan, by county, 1993. Source: Michigan       
Department of Natural Resources, 1993.                      

Figure 7.  Number of furniture and cabinet manufactures     
in Michigan, by county, 1993. Source:  Michigan             
Department of Natural Resources, 1993.                      

Figure 8.  Employment in the Upper Peninsula by industry    
type, 1993 (thousands). Source:  Michigan Employment        
Security Commission (MESC), 1st quarter 1993. (MESC data    
do not include sole proprietors and partnerships, nor       
some family-owned businesses that do not employ             
non-family members, so employment is underrepresented,      
particularly in SIC 24, which includes logging.)            

Figure 9.  Michigan value of shipments, solidwood           
products and processed foods, 1987.  Source: County         
Business Patterns, 1993.                                    

Figure 10.  Wood products and food products employment as   
a percent of total Michigan employment, 1981-1991.          

Figure 11. Hardwood sawtimber price projections to 2040,    
North Central United States (1982 $/MBF).  Source: U.S.     
Department of Commerce, 1994.                               

Figure 12. New housing starts, 1982-1984 (n = 1994          
projection).  Source:   Haynes et al., 1993.                

Figure 13. Projected U.S. pallet production,(millions),     
1990-2040.                                                  

Table 1.  Michigan forest products industry value-added     
(million 1991 dollars), 1977, 1982, 1987 and 1991.          

Sector        1977 Census  1982 Census 1987 Census  *1991   
                                                   Census   
Logging camps   32.8         29.2        52.3       83.1    
Sawmills        81.0         60.6        91.7       92.6    
Millwork       143.5         99.3       212.4       216.6   
Wood containers 55.3         40.7        57.1       66.0    
Prefabricated                                               
  buildings     56.9         14.3        47.4         D     
Miscellaneous  102.5         99.0       161.2      188.3    
SIC 24 Total   471.4        343.1       622.1      684.9    
Household                                                   
  furniture    133.6        163.8       170.9      199.5    
Wood household                                              
  furniture     77.6         71.7        81.9        NA     
Upholstered                                                 
 furniture      23.6           D          4.7        NA     
Office                                                      
 furniture     537.5       1,045.7    1,455.7    1,453.6    
Wood office                                                 
 furniture       D             D         73.7        NA     
Public                                                      
 buildings      88.9          87.5      114.4      216.6    
Partitions                                                  
 and fixtures   17.4         139.0      142.1      140.4    
Wood partitions 57.5         111.5       57.6        NA     
Wood SIC 25                                                 
   total       247.5         270.8      342.3    **419.3    
SIC 25 Total 1,104.0       1,254.3    2,005.9    2,060.0    

Pulp mills       D             D          D          D      
Paper mills    510.8         394.8      685.7      695.4    
Paperboard     155.6         127.3        D          D      
Converted paper 336.1        342.8        D          D      
Containers      363.1        272.4      310.2      258.1    
SIC 26 Total  1,324.4      1,045.3    1,699.7    1,669.6    

Forest products                                             
(FP) total    2,043.3      1,659.2    2,664.0    2,773.8    
SIC 24,25&26                                                
     total    2,899.8      2,642.7    4,327.6    4,414.5    
Manufacturing                                               
    (MANU)   62,484.3     42.227.8   62,307.4   63,351.0    
FP% of MANU    3.3%          3.9%      4.3%       4.4%      

D = Not disclosed by Census of Manufactures.                
NA = Three- and four-digit SIC detail not given in Annual   
Survey of Manufactures.                                     
*Annual Survey of Manufactures.                             
**Estimated as average percentage of total SIC 25 from      
previous three censuses.                                    
Source:USDOC, Bureau of Census, Census of Manufactures      
1977, 1982, 1987; Annual Survey of Manufactures, 1991.      


Table 2.  Percentage of employees and number of firms in    
Michigan, by industry, 1993.                                


Number of                                                   
Employees   Sawmills Pallets Dimension Furniture Veneer     
                             Percentage                     
1-5           56       44       33         44      21       
6-15          24       30       26         25       7       
16-30         12       13       15         11      14       
31-50          6        7       10          6      14       
51-100         1        4        7          5       7       
101-200        1        2        6          3       3       
201-500        0        0        2          4       0       
501-1000       0        0        0          1       0       
1001+          0        0        1          1       0       
                         Number of firms                    
Total firms    385      215      216        560     14      

Source:   MDNR wood products directory.                     


Table 3.  Veneer log production in Michigan, 1978-1990,     
by state of destination (million board feet).               

                       Lower North                          
     Michigan  Wisconsin  Central States Other  Total       
1990    21.7      14.4         1.0        0.7    37.8       
1988    18.6      12.5         4.4        0.7    36.2       
1986    15.7      13.0         3.2        0.9    32.8       
1984    11.0       9.4         0.0       11.3    31.7       
1980    22.1       9.0         0.0        5.6    36.7       
1978    22.6       8.7         1.8        2.1    35.2       

Source:  USDA Forest Service.                               


Table 4.  U.S. lumber consumption (historical and           
projected), by species group and end use (billion           
board feet).                                                
                                           Residential      
          Soft     Hard             New     upkeep &        
          woods    woods   Total   housing  improvements    
H 1962    30.8     8.5     39.1     14.5      4.4           
I 1970    32.0     7.9     39.9     13.3      4.7           
s 1976    36.6     8.0     44.7     17.0      5.7           
t 1986    48.0     9.0     57.2     19.3     10.1           
1991      44.0    10.8     54.6     15.0     11.6           
P 2000    46.8    11.0     57.9     15.2     13.4           
r 2010    49.9    11.9     61.8     14.6     15.5           
o 2020    56.6    12.6     69.2     16.1     17.5           
j 2030    59.6    13.1     72.7     14.9     19.0           
2040      61.8    13.8     75.6     13.8     20.1           


         New non-                                           
       residential    Manu-                                 
       construction   facturing   Shipping  All other       
H 1962    4.2         4.5          4.6      6.9             
i 1970    4.7         4.7          5.7      6.8             
s 1976    4.5         4.9          5.9      6.7             
t 1986    5.3         4.8          6.8     10.9             
  1991    5.4         5.6          8.2      8.8             
P 2000    6.3         5.3          9.3      8.5             
r 2010    6.7         5.7         10.2      9.1             
o 2020    7.3         6.3         10.8     11.0             
j 2030    8.1         7.1         11.2     12.4             
  2040    9.0         7.9         11.5     13.3             

Source:  Haynes et al., 1993.                               


Table 5.  Value of Michigan Forest Products (SIC 24)        
Exports,by destination, 1989-1993 (U.S. $)                  

             1989          1990          1991               
Canada    15,595,668    31,079,719    26,603,920            
Europe    38,381,206    35,461,508    47,553,254            
Asia       5,669,470     8,319,474     7,626,397            
Latin America                                               
 /Caribbean  693,034       948,657     1,891,502            
Middle East                                                 
 /Africa     545,663       649,547       765,580            
World Tot.60,885,041    76,458,905    84,440,653            


                        1992             1993               
Canada               40,454,616       51,139,417            
Europe               30,607,017       33,771,044            
Asia                  6,005,17         6,422,466            
Latin America                                               
/Caribbean            1,669,976        1,874,534            
Middle East/Africa      485,062        1,164,018            
World Total          79,221,842       94,371,479            

Source:   MISER, 1994.                                      



Glossary                                                    

Biodiversity. The diversity of life forms sharing a         
specific location.                                          

Board foot. Common unit of measurement for lumber and       
sawlogs, represented by a hypothetical board 1 foot long,   
1 foot wide and 1 inch thick.                               

Bolt. Short log, cut to a specific length for processing,   
as in pulpwood bolt.                                        

Composition board. The full range of panels, including      
plywood, waferboard, strand board, flakeboard,              
particleboard, fiberboard, hardboard and insulation         
board; synonymous with panel board, reconstituted wood      
panels.                                                     

Dry kiln. Chamber used for seasoning lumber through         
control of air flow, temperature and relative humidity.     

Ecosystem management. Concept of managing entire forest     
systems, or landscapes, with emphasis on diversity.         

Fiberboard. Panel board made from fibers of wood or         
other lignocellulosic material; manufactured by an          
interfelting of the fibers and consolidated under heat      
and pressure in a hot press. Unlike particleboard, only     
a minimal amount of resin is used in production.            
Fiberboards are classified according to density and         
method of manufacture.                                      

  Hardboard. Fiberboard of 0.50 to 1.20 grams per           
  cubic centimeter (31.5 to 75 pounds per cubic foot)       
  density, to which other materials may have been           
  added to improve board properties.                        

  Medium density fiberboard (MDF). Dry-formed               
  fiberboard compressed to about 0.50 to 0.80 gram per      
  cubic centimeter density, normally using urea             
  formaldehyde as a bonding agent; manufactured for         
  use in furniture and similar applications.                

Finger joint. System used to join two pieces of lumber      
stock or moulding endwise to extend the length. Matching    
"fingers" are sawn in each end and the pieces are fit       
together.                                                   

Flakeboard. Oriented strand board or waferboard.            

Furnish. Blended particles, binders and additives ready     
for the panelboard forming process.                         

Hardwoods. Broad-leaved, deciduous trees and the wood       
derived from them. The term does not indicate the actual    
hardness of the wood.                                       

Lumber. Product of a sawmill or planing mill. Types         
include:                                                    
  Boards. Lumber nominally less than 2 inches thick         
  and at least 2 inches wide.                               

  Dimension. Solid or glued hardwood or softwood            
  lumber pieces produced in specified sizes related to      
  end use; e.g., furniture components.                      

  Factory or shop lumber. Lumber intended for               
  further manufacture.                                      

  Finish lumber. High or upper grade as opposed to          
  common or lower grades.                                   

  Millwork. Surfaced and patterned lumber for finish        
  work, including sashes, doors, cornices, panels, and      
  other interior or exterior trim, but not flooring,        
  ceiling or siding.                                        

  Rough lumber. Lumber that has been sawn, edged            
 and trimmed but not surfaced.                              

  Surfaced lumber. Lumber that has been dressed by          
 processing it through a planer.                            

Moulding. Profiled strip of wood used as decorative trim    
in residences and other structures.                         

Oriented strand board (OSB). Structural panel product       
composed of wood flakes, oriented in layers at right        
angles to one another and bonded under heat and pressure;   
used for floor underlayment, roof decking and sidewall      
sheathing.                                                  

Pallet stock. Low grade lumber used to make pallets.        

Panel. Sheet of plywood or panel board cut to a standard    
size.                                                       

Particleboard. Panels manufactured from wood particles      
bonded with resins and consolidated through heat and        
pressure. Lower grades are used for underlayment and        
mobile home decking; higher quality board is used in        
industrial application, principally as core stock for       
furniture and cabinets.                                     

Plywood. Panel made of veneer layers glued tightly under    
heat and pressure, with the grains of adjoining layers at   
right angles to one another.                                

Primary manufacturing. Term generally applied to the        
manufacture of primary wood products; i.e., lumber,         
plywood and panel board.                                    

Pulpwood. Stems, logs and bolts cut or sorted primarily     
for manufacture into pulp for the paper industry.           

Sawlogs. Logs suitable in diameter, length and quality      
for the production of lumber.                               

SIC. Standard Industrial Classification. See Appendix.      

Structural panels. 1. Term generally applied to the         
grouping of softwood plywood, waferboard, oriented          
waferboard and oriented strand board. 2. Panels designed    
for certain structural applications.                        

Stumpage. 1. Uncut commercial timber. 2. The value of       
timber as it stands uncut in the woods.                     

Veneer. Thin sheets of wood combined in layers to form      
plywood.                                                    


Appendix Standard Industrial Classification                 

SIC Number     Description                                  
   24       Lumber and Wood Products, except Furniture      
  241       Logging                                         
  242       Sawmills and planing mills                      
 2421       Sawmills and planing mills, general             
 2426       Hardwood dimension and flooring mills           
 2429       Special product sawmills not elsewhere          
        classified                                          
  243       Millwork, veneer, plywood, and prefabricated    
              structural wood members                       
 2431       Millwork                                        
 2434       Wood kitchen cabinets                           
 2435       Hardwood veneer and plywood                     
 2436       Softwood veneer and plywood                     
 2439       Structural wood members not elsewhere           
    classified                                              
  244       Wooden containers                               
 2441       Nailed and lock-corner wood boxes               
 2448       Wood pallets and skids                          
 2449       Wood containers not elsewhere classified        
  245       Wood buildings and mobile homes                 
 2451       Mobile homes                                    
 2452       Prefabricated wood buildings and components     
249       Miscellaneous wood products                       
 2491       Wood preserving                                 
 2493       Reconstituted wood products                     
 2499       Wood products not elsewhere classified          
   25       Household Furniture                             
 2511       Wood household furniture, except upholstered    
2512       Wood household furniture, upholstered            
 2517       Wood television, radio, phonograph and sewing   
             machine cabinets                               
  252       Office furniture                                
 2521       Wood office furniture                           
  253       Public buildings and related furniture          
  254       Partitions, shelving, lockers and office and    
             store fixtures                                 
 2541       Wood office and store fixtures, partitions,     
             shelving and lockers                           
  259       Miscellaneous furniture and fixtures            
References                                                  

Armstrong, James P., Thomas G. Ponzurick and William G.     
Luppold. 1993. "A New Look at the Canadian Market for       
U.S. Hardwood Lumber." Northern Journal of Applied          
Forestry 10:3, 128-131.                                     

Balatinecz, John J., and Raymond T. Woodhams. 1993.         
"Wood-Plastic Composites: Doing More with Less." Journal    
of Forestry 91(11):22-26.                                   

Banzhaf & Company. November 10, 1992. Survey of Hardwood    
Dimension Users in Twenty-three Northeastern States.        
Prepared for the Michigan Department of Natural             
Resources, Lansing, Michigan.                               

Chappelle, D.E., S.E. Heinen, L.M. James, K.M. Kittleson    
and D.D. Olson. 1986. Economic Impacts of Michigan Forest   
Industries: A Partially Survey-Based Input-Output Study.    
Research Report 472. East Lansing, Mich.: Michigan State    
University Agricultural Experiment Station.                 

Chappelle, Daniel E., and Larry D. Pedersen. 1991.          
Economic Contributions of Michigan Forests: Progress        
During the 1980's and Future Prospects. Research Report     
514. East Lansing, Mich.: Michigan State University         
Agricultural Experiment Station.                            

Davis, Donna K. February 1991. An Overview of Michigan's    
Office Furniture Industry. Lansing, Mich.: Michigan         
Department of Commerce.                                     

Derning, Sean. February 1993. "Economy Still Top Concern    
of Contract Furniture Manufacturers." Wood and Wood         
Products. Lincolnshire, Ill.: Vance Publishing.             

Dietzman, Debra. 1993. "Forest Products Research: Not       
Just Wood as Usual." Journal of Forestry 91(11):13-15.      

Epperson, W.W. 1993. "The Furniture Industry." Weekly       
Hardwood Review, October 16-19, 1993.                       

Hackett, Ronald L., and John Pilon. 1993. Michigan Timber   
Industry-An Assessment of Timber Product Output and Use,    
1990. Resource Bulletin NC-144. St. Paul, Minn.: USDA       
Forest Service North Central Forest Experiment Station.     

Haynes, Richard W. 1990. An Analysis of the Timber          
Situation in the United States: 1989-2040. General          
Technical Report RM-199. Ft. Collins, Colo.: USDA Forest    
Service.                                                    

Haynes, Richard W., Darius M. Adams and John R. Mills.      
May 7,1993. The 1993 RPA Timber Assessment Update           
(draft).                                                    

Lawser, Steven V. 1993. "Hardwood Dimension." Weekly        
Hardwood Review, October 16-19, 1993.                       

Mathews, Dan. 1993. "Dry Kiln Outlook." Weekly Hardwood     
Review, October 16-19, 1993.                                

Michigan Employment Security Commission. 1993. Michigan     
Employment Data for Wood Products Sectors. Lansing,         
Michigan.                                                   

Michigan Jobs Commission. July 1993. Customer Assistance    
and Research Services, Michigan's Office Furniture          
Industry. Lansing, Michigan.                                

MISER (Massachusetts Institute for Social and Economic      
Research. 1994. State of Origin of Exports. Amherst,        
Mass.: University of Massachusetts.                         

Moslemi, A.A. 1993. "Inorganic-bonded Wood Composites:      
From Sludge to Siding." Journal of Forestry 91(11):27-29.   

Nelson, Charles M. 1994. (Unpublished survey of             
recreational use). East Lansing, MI: Michigan State         
University, Department of Park and Recreation Resources.    

PHH Fantus Consulting. December 1993. Report to Michigan    
Jobs Commission: Michigan Business Climate and              
Development Program Bench Marking Analysis. Lansing,        
Michigan.                                                   

Stier, Jeffrey C. April 4, 1990. "Lake States Forest        
Product Industry Trends and Regional Wood Flows."           
Wood-Based Economic Development in the Lake States:         
Proceedings of a Symposium on Specific Forest Products      
Opportunities. St. Paul, Minnesota.                         

Sullivan, John P. May 19, 1994. "Overview of the United     
States Furniture Industry"-presentation given at Forest     
Products Society, Great Lakes Chapter, Spring Seminar,      
McBain, Michigan.                                           

U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. Various     
years. Veneer Industry and Timber Use, North Central        
Region. Resource Bulletins. North Central Forest            
Experiment Station.                                         

U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 1992.    
Annual Survey of Manufactures, 1991.                        

U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.          
Various years. Census of Manufactures, 1977, 1982, 1987.    

U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade            
Administration. 1994. U.S. Industrial Outlook - 1994.       

U.S. Department of Commerce. February 1994. Survey of       
Current Business.                                           

Weekly Hardwood Review. October 1, 1993. Editorial.         

Weekly Hardwood Review. Various issues.                     

Wood and Wood Products. May 1993. Editorial.                
Lincolnshire, Ill.: Vance Publishing.                       


Reports on the Status and Potential of Michigan Natural     
Resources                                                   

This special report is one of a series (listed below)       
prepared for a project of the Michigan Agricultural         
Experiment Station (MAES) called the "Status and            
Potential of Michigan Natural Resources" (SAPMINR).         

The project was designed to take an inventory of the        
current status of Michigan natural resources, identify      
emerging trends, and appraise future opportunities. The     
purpose was to assist MAES in establishing priorities and   
planning programs.                                          

Both overview and focused topic assessments have been       
made. The overview reports provide background information   
on the political, economic, and social environments         
influencing Michigan natural resources. The focus reports   
examine specific resources, including timberland            
resources, fisheries and wildlife resources, parks and      
recreational resources, and land and water resources.       

The SAPMINR project began in early 1993. At that time,      
interdisciplinary teams of MSU faculty members, graduate    
students, federal and state government officials, and       
others collaborated to develop preliminary reports. In      
March 1994, a SAPMINR conference took place during MSU's    
Agriculture and Natural Resources Week. The objective of    
the conference was to provide a public forum for            
discussion of the preliminary reports. Based on             
interaction with conference participants, the authors       
prepared the final drafts of the special reports (SR).      

This report should not be considered final. Efforts to      
analyze the past and forecast the future are ongoing.       
Even so, this report is a base for dialogue on both the     
status and potential of Michigan natural resources.         

To receive any of the reports listed below, contact: MSU    
Bulletin Office, Room 103 Agriculture Hall, Michigan        
State University, East Lansing, MI 48824-1039.              

Status and Potential of Michigan Natural Resources List     
of Reports                                                  
Overview Reports                                            
SR 67 --SAPMINR Highlights                                  
SR 68 --Michigan Natural Resources Policy                   
SR 69 --Demographic, Social and Economic Trends             
SR 70 --Integrated Natural Resource Systems Focus Reports   
SR 71 --Timber and Timberland Resources                     
SR 72 --Lumber, Furniture, Composition Panels and Other     
Solidwood Products                                          
SR 73 --Pulp, Paper, Allied Products and Wood Energy        
SR 74 --Fisheries                                           
SR 75 --Wildlife                                            
SR 76 --Tourism                                             
SR 77 --Boating and Underwater Recreation                   
SR 78 --Camping, Trails and Dispersed Recreation            
SR 79 --Water Resources                                     
SR 80 --Land Resources                                      
SR 81 --Nonrenewable Resources                              
SR 82 --Natural Resources and Communities                   

The author thanks Dr. Larry Pedersen from the Michigan      
Department of Natural Resources in Lansing, Russell Kidd    
of MSU Extension in Roscommon and Dr. Otto Suchsland from   
the Department of Forestry at MSU for contributing to       
various sections of the report.                             

I would also like to thank Robin Bertsch from the           
Michigan Department of Natural Resources Forest             
Management Division in Lansing, and Drs. Carl Ramm, Henry   
Huber, and Karen Potter-Witter from the Department of       
Forestry at MSU for their review of the draft and helpful   
comments.                                                   

The Michigan Agricultural Experiment Station is an equal    
opportunity employer and complies with Title VI of the      
Civil Rights Act of 1964 and Title IX of the Education      
Amendments of 1972.  printed on recycled paper using soy    
based ink  New_1:95_.75M_TCM_CW                             
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