Michigan State University Extension
Diversity and Pluralism - D4110185
12/95/
ERIC TITLE NUMBER: ED341697 AUTHOR: Gerald, Debra E.; Hussar, William J.
TITLE: Projections of Education Statistics to 2002.
YEAR PUBLISHED: 1991
NOTE: 229 p.; This volume is the 21st report in a series
begun in 1964; for prior year's report, see ED 327 581.
AVAILABILITY: U.S. Government Printing Office,
Superintendent of Documents, Mail Stop: SSOP, Washington,
DC 20402-9328.
ABSTRACT: This edition, 21st in a series, provides
revisions of projections shown in the preceding volume and
includes statistics on elementary and secondary schools and
institutions of higher learning at the national level. Data
include projections for enrollment, graduates,
instructional staff, and expenditures to the year 2002.
Selected projections are also given for the state level.
This edition also includes a section on new developments in
projecting education statistics that includes enrollment
projections by race and ethnicity. A methodology section
describes the ways that projections are made and the models
used. Most projections include three or four alternatives
based on different assumptions about growth. Public and
private school enrollments are projected to increase in the
period, passing the 1971 peak, with a reversal in the
recent decline in secondary school enrollments. While
enrollment in higher education is expected to increase, the
rate of growth is expected to slow after 1990. Increases in
the numbers of classroom teachers and in expenditures per
pupil are also forecasted. State level K-12 public school
enrollment and public high school graduates are expected to
increase, but these increases will vary across the nation.
Five technical appendices contain details about the
projection methodology; and present supplementary tables,
a table of mean absolute percentage errors, an outline of
data sources, and a glossary. The text contains 100 figures
and 46 tables, and the appendices contain an additional 34
tables. (SLD)
KEY DESCRIPTORS: Educational-Finance; Elementary-Secondary
Education; Expenditures-; Graphs-; Postsecondary-Education;
Predictive-Measurement; Private-Schools; Public-Schools;
Tables-Data; Trend-Analysis
KEY DESCRIPTORS: *Educational-Trends; *Enrollment
Projections; *Futures-of-Society; *National-Surveys;
*School Statistics
This is an ERIC database document. ERIC is the National
Education Information Network for providing ready access
to the literature of education -descriptions of exemplary
programs, research and development efforts, and related
information that can be used in developing more effective
educational programs. The ERIC database is currently
available on CD-ROM in the main library (ground floor of
the west wing) at Michigan State University. To locate
ERIC documents in the library identify the first line of
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following ERIC TITLE NUMBER indicates an ERIC document,
an unpublished research study. Most of these items are
available in the Microforms library, located on the 3rd
floor of the west wing. All you need is the six digit ED
number. If EJ follows ERIC TITLE NUMBER the item is a
journal article. The complete journal name is listed after
the code JOURNAL.
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