Michigan State University Extension
Ag Econ Bulletins - 97200012
08/28/97

1997 Outlook for Eggs and Poultry




Henry Larzelere                                             


Eggs                                                        


     The number of eggs and pullets on January 1, 1997      
will likely be 2% or 3% above a year earlier. Egg           
production in most of 1997 will probably also be 2% or 3%   
above 1996. This increased production will largely be the   
response of favorable egg prices and feed ingredient        
prices at the end of 1996 and early 1997. The egg-type      
chick hatch during the major hatch season of March, April   
and May 1997, will probably be 3% or 4% above the same      
period of 1996. Likewise, feed ingredient costs will        
probably continue their recent decline, depending on 1997   
crop production conditions. These expected increases in     
egg production will likely mean New York wholesale prices   
for Grade A large white eggs in cartons will average in     
the 80's or 90's. Egg prices in 1997 most likely will be    
below 1996.                                                 


Broilers                                                    


     Broiler production in pounds of meat in 1996 was       
more than 5% above 1995. Wholesale broiler prices, fresh    
ice packed at Midwestern cities in 1996, averaged 5 cents   
a pound above 1995.                                         


     Broiler production in 1997 is expected to be 6%        
above 1996 levels. This factor, coupled with pork           
production being about the same, will likely mean average   
broiler prices in 1997 will be about 2.5 cents a pound      
below 1996, or 59 cents a pound.                            


Turkeys                                                     


     The 1996 turkey crop was about 6.5% above the 1995     
crop with prices for frozen whole turkeys about the same    
in both years.                                              


     The 1997 turkey crop is expected to be 2% above        
1996. Turkey prices in 1997 will probably average about 2   
cents a pound above the previous year. The consumption of   
turkey continues to grow throughout the year because more   
uses of turkey are found. However, prices in the last       
quarter of the year will be 5 to 10 cents a pound above     
the first three quarters.                                   

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